2010 the First Half of the Timber Industry Trend Analysis Quotes

ide began to recede by the financial tsunami, thethe period of unsatisfactory performance, can be
dawn of hope can still be seen. The second half ofpredicted that the first half of 2010, most of the
2009, with the cost of raw materials price increases,sales of certain raw materials products will achieve
as well as furniture, decoration, wood productsyear on year growth, the increase of different
industry needs to rise in the amount of bamboo rawproducts depending on their specific Quotes may be.
materials price level shocks upstream, and the pricesNeed to draw attention is that the follow-up due to
so that practitioners in the initial warming to seethe negative impact of financial crisis will continue to
more hope. In the economic situation, "Bear bull"exist, the possibility of the sharp rebound in
crucial period of transformation, bamboo industry inconsumer demand is still small, much less catch-up in a
the coming six months of the stock market will beshort time before the crisis level, bamboo raw
how the scene? With the current domestic andmaterials and processing industry of the stock
international economic situation and the bamboomarket trend may also occur and repeated shocks.
Quotes trends and try to make the followingBamboo Costs and Market Value, "rising in tandem"
estimate.The next few months, the rising cost and demand is
Good Timber Industry to the Economy ofvery likely boost the market price of the majority of
Macroeconomic Boostbamboo and wood materials, higher, in particular,
After experiencing the vicissitudes of 2008 and thebest-selling varieties and varieties of stagflation in
ups and downs of 2009, the major economies have2009 will enter a new period of price increases.
experienced varying degrees of signs of recovery,Cost rising for a rebound will be driven commodity
which indicates that the global economy will graduallyprices hit a new high. Industrial timber market dealers
move out of the mire of the financial crisis. While theintroduced in 2009, Northeastern material, southwest
global economy, there are many uncertainties, localwood, African wood, Europe and the United States
problems and worries will continue, but less likely towood, timber log prices in Southeast Asia had access
macroeconomic second bottom, the recovery trendto the uplink channel, and the rapid increase in
is irresistible.transportation and processing costs, all kinds of raw
2009 is a watershed year, while the economicmaterial products, the increasing cost pressures
situation in 2010 will directly determine the recoveryincrease; while the domestic market, Fang wood,
process. In 2010, the Chinese government willveneer market price has not been a corresponding
maintain continuity and stability of macroeconomicrise, of which only a part of the popular varieties of
policy will continue to implement the proactive fiscalthe corresponding price increases, there are many
policy and moderate loose monetary policy. Inproducts, price increases lagged behind, even a small
particular, by the end of 2009, Premier Wen Jiabao atnumber of products, market prices fail to rise
the Zhongnanhai exclusive interview with Xinhua, saiddeclined. By 2010, the trend of broad based around
that to ensure stable and rapid economic growth,the wood will pass the cost to the domestic timber
goals have not changed our premature withdrawalmarket is likely to trigger a modest rise in prices for
policy to stimulate the economy, then it may causemost products. Material the Northeast, for example,
come to naught, and even have made the situationby the end of 2009, the Northeast forest authorities
reversed. Can be seen that the state'sannounced the Northeast timber auction prices, the
macroeconomic policy will not change easily, ourNortheast cost of the new timber situation appears
economy will continue to be strong policy support.broad based, or mainly in 100-400 yuan / m3
According to industry experts estimate that by 2010,between; Spring Festival, more than kinds of the
China's timber shortage will reach more than 200Northeast market has been raised 23 hundred dollars
million cubic meters, can be seen tremendous demandtimber. Daxinganling party secretary of Heilongjiang
for bamboo and wood materials, rigid and relatedProvince, administrative commissioner Song Xibin
products in the market consumption potential is farparty reported to the State Forestry Administration,
from peaked. Dongguan Industrial timber marketsaid that in 2010, Daxinganling will continue to be
believe that the impact of financial crisis may continuereduced stumpage production. To be sure, in 2010,
for some time, but the most difficult times arethe Northeast timber supply is still tight market rally
behind us; the long run, the economic recovery in thewill continue. In addition, Europe and the United
global context of a new round of growth cycle wasStates, Africa, Southeast Asia and other places is
pregnant with our Bamboo industry and its rawmore than log price rise, the domestic market,
materials processing industry has entered a recoveryrelated to wood Fang, veneer prices will continue to
track, the industry level will gradually boost therise with the cost, but the price increases exceed the
economy.cost or difficulty.
Market sales will continue a new round of riseU.S. dollar, the euro's rebound will boost imports of
After a decline of more than a year after the secondtimber to stabilize prices. As the situation for the
half of 2009, the initial signs of recovery emergingbetter and the main rise in currency exchange rates,
timber industry, many types of wood Fang, veneer,local markets are restored, raw materials producers,
plywood, product volume and price level bottomedas well as the related trade body will not blindly short
out, started a new round of rise. Industrial timbertimber commodity prices. In this context, the price of
market forecasts, with the help of the wind ofimported timber, or will remain upward trend shock,
economic recovery in 2010 in the first half, most ofsuch as beech, maple, cherry, ash, poplar and other
bamboo raw materials and finished products sales willtypes of pre-European material prices rose less in
continue a modest upward trend rising. There are2010 will continue to be upward.
three main reasons:The price of supply and demand relationship is one of
First, since the summer of 2009, the domestic realthe determinants. When the pick-up in domestic and
estate market quickly pick up some hot urban tradingexternal demand led to best-selling varieties in short
level of catch-up in 2007, and thus pulling thesupply, hot-selling products certainly strengthen the
furniture, decoration, infrastructure industries such asrally, the most typical representative of Russia due to
consumer demand. By 2010, the real estate industrysevere shortage of wood ash and other price
is expected to remain relatively stable demand andincreases likely to continue; In addition, the booming
supply situation, which will help bamboo industrydemand and supply of plywood, large core boards
continued to improve. The domestic furniture market,and other wood-based panel product prices due to
Huo-wang, will greatly contribute to all kinds offurniture, decoration industry, pick up will remain
veneer, wood Fang, puzzle, wood-based panels,strong.
bamboo skin bamboo consumption, such as theA small number of unmarketable veneer, wood Fang
northeast of linden wood, birch, elm, ash and otherspecies and wood-based panel products with lower
species as well as the south-west (including theenvironmental levels of the stock market difficult to
Myanmar region) Teak, piling wood, white wood,pick up, and even the existence or the possibility of
Southwest Cheng, water melon, grapefruit and otherprice-volume Qi, such as the Northeast larch, the
common varieties of gold will continue to be aAfrican Red Rose wood, low-grade medium density
market selling point. Domestic decoration industry willfiberboard and other products is the lack of apparent
veneer, plywood, creating more businesspower prices. The decorative panels, aluminum
opportunities, such as the bamboo skin of bamboo,composite panel, wood and chemical products due to
science and technology veneer, veneer northeast,the cost of the price stability will be maintained
southwest veneer, veneer Africa, Europe and therelatively stable level.
United States veneer, Southeast Asia, veneer,New Starting Point for Rational Distribution of the
plywood, Daixinban, MDF, etc., have by theUse of Transit
market-proven products will continue strong sales.Slowly at low tide of the financial tsunami. Painful as
Second, the second half of 2008 to 2009, foreignthe experience is not difficult to find, bamboo raw
markets, demand for bamboo products significantlymaterials industry and machining industry, despite the
reduced, this situation is expected to be reversed. Bymany ups and downs of external factors, but the
2010, Europe and the United States the country'smore profound their own reasons, such as the lack
economic situation will slowly turn for the better, andof brand, ignoring domestic, low-technology,
the major economies will not be quick to remove alldistribution channels and other ills of a single exposed.
economic incentives. With the recovery in Europe andIndustrial timber market participants stressed that,
the United States to stabilize the economy, thesince 2010, the macroeconomic model by the
decline in the unemployment rate and other positiveGovernment to stimulate the recovery of the
factors in the emergence, from 2010 onwards,recovery of the autonomy of changes in changes in
external demand has been suppressed to somethe way of economic development imperative.
extent will be the release, which Europe and theAgainst this trend, the bamboo industry is only
United States, Africa, Southeast Asia, Fang wood,focused their attention on market consumption
veneer and through the CARB and the FSCtrends, improve production technology, improve
certification of man-made board will bring significantmanagement, optimize product structure, improve
promotional role.sales pattern, trade, scientific and rational planning in
Third, due to financial crisis, in 2009 in the first half oforder to make further and further robust pace of
timber Quotes severe shocks, the vast majority ofrecovery in order to In the new growth cycle
sales of products in the market hit bottom. Based onstarting point to take an advantageous position.